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HORIZON EUROPE TOPIC · Cluster 5 · Climate, Energy and Mobility

Advancing understanding, modelling and prediction of extreme events in a changing climate

HORIZON-CL5-2027-01-D1-07 — the expected outcomes as checkable statements, what evaluators look for in this topic, and the conditions that shape the proposal.

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ForthcomingRIA · lump sumDeadline 4 March 2027around EUR 6 million per project

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TopicHORIZON-CL5-2027-01-D1-07
StatusForthcoming
CallHORIZON-CL5-2027-01 — CLIMATE
DestinationAdvancing science for a fair transition to a climate-neutral and resilient society (2026-27)
Type of actionResearch and Innovation Actions · lump sum
Opening17 November 2026
Deadline4 March 2027
Budgetaround EUR 6 million per project · 3 projects expected · EUR 18 million in total
Part B page limit45 pages (standard application form; check your call)
TemplateWork Programme 2026–2027 application form

Expected outcomes

Projects should contribute to all of the expected outcomes. The topic says: “Project results are expected to contribute to all of the following expected outcomes:”

  1. EO1 Improved understanding of past and present extreme events in the context of climate change in Europe and globally, as well as the interaction between different hazards, their cumulative and/or cascading effects.
  2. EO2 Enhanced seamless prediction and projection modelling and attribution capabilities for extreme events and their likelihood to support preparedness, response and resilience to climate change by EU and national and regional actors. The EU Union Preparedness Strategy, the EU Adaptation Strategy and the European Climate Adaptation Plan can act as a guidance in these efforts.
  3. EO3 Up-to-date contributions towards latest climate science, risk assessments, adaptation strategies and policies and improved early warning systems for single and multi-hazard events.

Expected impacts named in the destination

The wider, long-term effects the destination seeks. Your outcomes feed them; they are not project deliverables.

  1. EI1 Supporting climate action (both mitigation and adaptation) in Europe and globally, through advancing climate science and the knowledge base underpinning actionable solutions, to accelerate the transition to a climate-neutral, climate-resilient and prosperous society.
  2. EI2 Closing key knowledge gaps related to climate change, thereby contributing substantially to key European and international assessments such as IPCC, IPBES, EUCRA, and other initiatives such as the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) and the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) under the World Climate Research Programme.
  3. EI3 Strengthening the European Research Area on climate change by boosting scientific excellence and capacity in an inclusive manner across the participating countries.
  4. EI4 Maximising synergies between mitigation and adaptation and with other policy priorities such as biodiversity and ecosystem preservation and restoration, disaster-preparedness, digitalisation, circular economy, prosperity and competitiveness, strategic autonomy, security and resilience, just transition, and the Sustainable Development Goals by exploring co-benefits, trade-offs and potential unintended consequences of climate strategies and policy interventions.

What evaluators will look for in this topic

Expected outcomes

  • Projects should contribute to all of the expected outcomes.
  • For each outcome (EO1 to EO3), name who will use or adopt your results (a specific group, not “industry” or “society”), how they get them, and the indicator that shows the change, with baseline, target and date.
  • Use the topic's own words for each outcome, so the evaluator can tick it off.

What the scope asks for

Evaluators check the proposal against these sentences of the scope. Answer each one visibly, in the call's own words.

  • “Actions are expected to draw upon multiple lines of evidence from a hierarchy of models (including high resolution Earth system models and digital twins) and data of past and recent climate to further our understanding of processes, pre-conditioning and causality driving extreme events under climate change conditions, including anthropogenic factors and internal variability.”
  • “Extreme events should be addressed in their broadest sense and types, encompassing isolated, compound or cascading events affecting lives, livelihoods, ecosystems, socio-economic sectors and infrastructures, from large-scale continental to local-scale phenomena.”
  • “Actions should encompass quantitative intercomparisons, retrospective analyses, lessons learned and case studies of recent emblematic and diverse extreme events, and demonstrate the corresponding progress offered by the project in terms of improved understanding, comprehensive integration of multiple lines of evidence, and seamless (e.g. from short-term weather to sub-seasonal and multi-decadal scales) prediction and projection capabilities and…”
  • “The work is expected to support the future European Climate Risk Assessment (EUCRA), for example through storylines on extremes or other approaches.”
  • “Project outcomes should demonstrate clear benefits for the prediction and attribution of extreme events and contribute to the activities of the EU Mission on Adaptation to Climate Change.”
  • “Cooperation with global, EU, national and regional actors in the field of Disaster Risk Reduction and climate adaptation, including through integration into or interoperability with Copernicus, Destination Earth and other relevant initiatives is encouraged.”
  • “In addition, international cooperation with low- to middle-income countries automatically eligible for Horizon Europe funding is encouraged in support of climate resilience efforts, especially for capacity building.”
  • “To this end, proposals should foresee sufficient means for effective coordination (i.e. cluster meetings, joint data management, potential joint actions). https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/publications/european-climate-risk-assessment.”

Conditions that shape the proposal

  • Part B, sections 1–3: 45 pages (standard application form). Text beyond the limit is not read; tables and figures count.
  • Lump sum: the budget is fixed per work package and paid when each work package is completed. Every work package needs activities and deliverables an evaluator can verify, and the effort must match the money.
  • Other Eligible Conditions: “The Joint Research Centre (JRC) may participate as member of the consortium selected for funding as a beneficiary with zero funding, or as an associated partner. The JRC will not participate in the preparation and submission of the proposal - see General Annex B.”

Impact pathway and traps

  • The scope expects pilots or demonstration. Name the sites, the partners who run them and what is measured there.
  • International cooperation is part of the scope. Explain what the non-EU partners add and how the cooperation is organised.
  • The Joint Research Centre may take part. Decide whether its involvement helps, and say so if you include it.
  • Open science or data practices are named. Make the data management plan concrete: which data, which repository, when.
  • Keep outputs, outcomes and impacts apart: what you deliver, what changes when others use it, and the long-term effect.
  • For each destination impact you claim, show which of your outcomes feeds it. Destination impacts are long-term effects, not project deliverables.
  • Name the barriers outside the project (regulation, markets, user behaviour) that could block uptake, and what you will do if they do.
  • Section 2.3 (the summary canvas) is optional on this call; the old split into scientific, economic and societal impact is no longer required.
The scope, as published

Climate change is intensifying the frequency and severity of extreme events. Understanding and predicting extreme events and the interaction between different types of hazards is critical for building resilience and safeguarding communities. Actions are expected to draw upon multiple lines of evidence from a hierarchy of models (including high resolution Earth system models and digital twins) and data of past and recent climate to further our understanding of processes, pre-conditioning and causality driving extreme events under climate change conditions, including anthropogenic factors and internal variability. Other innovative and efficient modelling and analysis methods, including AI-based approaches, to better predict, emulate and reveal climate change related extreme and unprecedented high impact events, and to capture their likelihood are particularly welcome. Extreme events should be addressed in their broadest sense and types, encompassing isolated, compound or cascading events affecting lives, livelihoods, ecosystems, socio-economic sectors and infrastructures, from large-scale continental to local-scale phenomena. Actions should encompass quantitative intercomparisons, retrospective analyses, lessons learned and case studies of recent emblematic and diverse extreme events, and demonstrate the corresponding progress offered by the project in terms of improved understanding, comprehensive integration of multiple lines of evidence, and seamless (e.g. from short-term weather to sub-seasonal and multi-decadal scales) prediction and projection capabilities and skills. The work is expected to support the future European Climate Risk Assessment (EUCRA), for example through storylines on extremes or other approaches. Project outcomes should demonstrate clear benefits for the prediction and attribution of extreme events and contribute to the activities of the EU Mission on Adaptation to Climate Change. Cooperation with global, EU, national and regional actors in the field of Disaster Risk Reduction and climate adaptation, including through integration into or interoperability with Copernicus, Destination Earth and other relevant initiatives is encouraged. In addition, international cooperation with low- to middle-income countries automatically eligible for Horizon Europe funding is encouraged in support of climate resilience efforts, especially for capacity building. Selected proposals may consider the involvement of the European Commission's Joint Research Centre (JRC) whose contribution could consist of scientific advice and technical support in the context of the Copernicus Emergency Management Service and transfer of relevant research outcomes to operations. This topic is part of a coordination initiative between ESA and the European Commission on Earth System Science (ESSI) under the new Extreme-Events Flagship Cluster. Successful consortia will be asked to coordinate with projects to be selected under ESA's FutureEO programme to facilitate access to and uptake of satellite data products and related tools or methodologies. To this end, proposals should foresee sufficient means for effective coordination (i.e. cluster meetings, joint data management, potential joint actions). https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/publications/european-climate-risk-assessment Please refer to the Horizon Europe List of Participating Countries on EU Funding and Tenders Portal for up-to-date information.

Other topics in HORIZON-CL5-2027-01

Source and attribution

Topic text from the official topic page on the EU Funding & Tenders Portal, retrieved 19 October 2026. © European Union, reused under Commission Decision 2011/833/EU (CC BY 4.0). Changes: the expected outcomes and impacts are split into numbered statements, long passages are shortened, and the evaluator checklist is GrantWise's own commentary. Your call and the Work Programme always win; check them before you submit. GrantWise is independent and not affiliated with, endorsed by, or acting on behalf of the European Commission.